Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Kawasaki Frontale win with a probability of 60.01%. A draw had a probability of 21.4% and a win for Vissel Kobe had a probability of 18.55%.
The most likely scoreline for a Kawasaki Frontale win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.13%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.98%) and 2-1 (9.96%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.1%), while for a Vissel Kobe win it was 0-1 (5.13%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 10% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Kawasaki Frontale would win this match.
Result | ||
Kawasaki Frontale | Draw | Vissel Kobe |
60.01% ( 0.83) | 21.44% ( -0.26) | 18.55% ( -0.58) |
Both teams to score 54.31% ( -0.19) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
56.95% ( 0.26) | 43.04% ( -0.27) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
34.55% ( 0.25) | 65.44% ( -0.26) |
Kawasaki Frontale Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
86.06% ( 0.34) | 13.94% ( -0.35) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
58.6% ( 0.67) | 41.4% ( -0.68) |
Vissel Kobe Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
63.1% ( -0.48) | 36.89% ( 0.47) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
26.32% ( -0.48) | 73.68% ( 0.47) |
Score Analysis |
Kawasaki Frontale | Draw | Vissel Kobe |
1-0 @ 10.13% ( 0.01) 2-0 @ 9.98% ( 0.13) 2-1 @ 9.96% ( 0.01) 3-0 @ 6.56% ( 0.17) 3-1 @ 6.54% ( 0.09) 3-2 @ 3.26% ( 0) 4-0 @ 3.23% ( 0.12) 4-1 @ 3.22% ( 0.08) 4-2 @ 1.61% ( 0.02) 5-0 @ 1.27% ( 0.06) 5-1 @ 1.27% ( 0.05) Other @ 2.98% Total : 60.01% | 1-1 @ 10.1% ( -0.12) 0-0 @ 5.14% ( -0.06) 2-2 @ 4.96% ( -0.06) 3-3 @ 1.08% ( -0.01) Other @ 0.14% Total : 21.43% | 0-1 @ 5.13% ( -0.13) 1-2 @ 5.04% ( -0.13) 0-2 @ 2.56% ( -0.1) 1-3 @ 1.67% ( -0.06) 2-3 @ 1.65% ( -0.04) Other @ 2.51% Total : 18.55% |
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