J1 League | Gameweek 6
Apr 3, 2024 at 11am UK
Machida Gion Stadium (Tokyo)
Ohashi (82' og.)
Shibato (19'), Shimoda (54'),
Dresevic (70'), Oh (89')
FT(HT: 0-1)
Coverage of the J1 League clash between Machida Zelvia and Sanfrecce Hiroshima.
Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sanfrecce Hiroshima win with a probability of 44.75%. A win for Machida Zelvia had a probability of 28.73% and a draw had a probability of 26.5%.
The most likely scoreline for a Sanfrecce Hiroshima win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.61%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.94%) and 0-2 (8.25%). The likeliest Machida Zelvia win was 1-0 (8.86%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.58%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with an 8.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Sanfrecce Hiroshima would win this match.
| Result |
| Machida Zelvia | Draw | Sanfrecce Hiroshima |
28.73% ( 0.5) | 26.51% ( -0.21) | 44.75% ( -0.28) |
| Both teams to score 50.16% ( 0.92) |
| 45.71% ( 1.05) | 54.28% ( -1.04) |
| 24.32% ( 0.87) | 75.68% ( -0.86) |
| 66.14% ( 0.94) | 33.86% ( -0.94) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 29.47% ( 1) | 70.53% ( -1) |
| Sanfrecce Hiroshima Goals |
| 75.85% ( 0.33) | 24.15% ( -0.32) |
