J1 League | Gameweek 4
Mar 16, 2024 at 6am UK
Ekimae Real Estate Stadium (Tosu)
FT(HT: 0-0)
Bueno (48'), Shibayama (64')
Ceara (80')
Shibayama (86')
Coverage of the J1 League clash between Sagan Tosu and Cerezo Osaka.
Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Cerezo Osaka win with a probability of 39.86%. A win for Sagan Tosu had a probability of 34.6% and a draw had a probability of 25.5%.
The most likely scoreline for a Cerezo Osaka win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.21%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.64%) and 0-2 (6.58%). The likeliest Sagan Tosu win was 1-0 (8.47%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.09%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 6.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Cerezo Osaka would win this match.
| Result |
| Sagan Tosu | Draw | Cerezo Osaka |
| 34.6% | 25.54% ( -0.01) | 39.86% ( 0.01) |
| Both teams to score 55.58% ( 0.03) |
| 51.65% ( 0.04) | 48.34% ( -0.03) |
| 29.51% ( 0.03) | 70.49% ( -0.03) |
| 73.1% ( 0.02) | 26.89% ( -0.02) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 37.79% ( 0.02) | 62.21% ( -0.02) |
| 76.03% ( 0.02) | 23.97% ( -0.02) |
