Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Yokohama F Marinos win with a probability of 68.56%. A draw had a probability of 18.7% and a win for Avispa Fukuoka had a probability of 12.72%.
The most likely scoreline for a Yokohama F Marinos win was 2-0 with a probability of 11.85%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (10.86%) and 2-1 (9.7%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.89%), while for an Avispa Fukuoka win it was 0-1 (4.07%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 10.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Yokohama F Marinos would win this match.