Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Yokohama F Marinos win with a probability of 44.85%. A win for Jubilo Iwata had a probability of 31.92% and a draw had a probability of 23.2%.
The most likely scoreline for a Yokohama F Marinos win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.07%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (7.24%) and 2-0 (6.3%). The likeliest Jubilo Iwata win was 1-2 (7.49%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.41%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 10.4% likelihood.
-2.46) 
0.2) 
