Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Yokohama F Marinos win with a probability of 67.69%. A draw had a probability of 19.1% and a win for Kyoto Sanga had a probability of 13.17%.
The most likely scoreline for a Yokohama F Marinos win was 2-0 with a probability of 11.84%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (11.07%) and 2-1 (9.73%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.1%), while for a Kyoto Sanga win it was 0-1 (4.25%). The actual scoreline of 4-1 was predicted with a 3.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Yokohama F Marinos would win this match.
-0.1) 
0.01) 
