Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Fortuna Sittard win with a probability of 39.9%. A win for Almere City had a probability of 35.53% and a draw had a probability of 24.6%.

The most likely scoreline for a Fortuna Sittard win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.67%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (8.05%) and 0-2 (6.11%). The likeliest Almere City win was 2-1 (8.11%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.42%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with an 8.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-2 win for Fortuna Sittard in this match.

Result
Almere City	Draw	Fortuna Sittard
35.53% ( 0.76)	24.56% ( -0.14)	39.9% ( -0.62)

Both teams to score 59.19% (

0.64)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

56.26% (

0.77)

43.74% (

-0.77)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

33.87% (

0.75)

66.13% (

-0.75)

Almere City Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

75.81% (

0.79)

24.19% (

-0.79)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

41.48% (

1.1)

58.51% (

-1.1)

Fortuna Sittard Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

78.08% (

0.03)

21.92% (

-0.03)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

44.81% (

0.05)

55.19% (

-0.05)

Score Analysis

Almere City 35.53%

Fortuna Sittard 39.9%

Draw 24.56%

Almere City	Draw	Fortuna Sittard
2-1 @ 8.11% ( 0.11) 1-0 @ 7.53% ( -0.08) 2-0 @ 5.34% ( 0.06) 3-1 @ 3.84% ( 0.14) 3-2 @ 2.91% ( 0.11) 3-0 @ 2.53% ( 0.09) 4-1 @ 1.36% ( 0.08) 4-2 @ 1.03% ( 0.06) Other @ 2.9% Total : 35.53%	1-1 @ 11.42% ( -0.11) 2-2 @ 6.15% ( 0.09) 0-0 @ 5.3% ( -0.18) 3-3 @ 1.47% ( 0.06) Other @ 0.22% Total : 24.56%	1-2 @ 8.67% ( -0.08) 0-1 @ 8.05% ( -0.27) 0-2 @ 6.11% ( -0.2) 1-3 @ 4.39% ( -0.03) 2-3 @ 3.11% ( 0.05) 0-3 @ 3.09% ( -0.1) 1-4 @ 1.66% ( -0.01) 2-4 @ 1.18% ( 0.02) 0-4 @ 1.17% ( -0.04) Other @ 2.48% Total : 39.9%