Almeria have already beaten Sevilla at home this season, while they only narrowly lost to Real Madrid, so this has the potential to be a tough match for Osasuna. The visitors have made a strong start to the season, but we can see the points being shared in a low-scoring draw here. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Almeria win with a probability of 49.62%. A draw had a probability of 25.8% and a win for Osasuna had a probability of 24.55%.

The most likely scoreline for an Almeria win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.41%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.43%) and 2-1 (9.29%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.23%), while for a Osasuna win it was 0-1 (8.06%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with an 8.1% likelihood.

Result
Almeria	Draw	Osasuna
49.62% ( 1.68)	25.83% ( -0.35)	24.55% ( -1.33)

Both teams to score 48.94% (

-0.17)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

45.71% (

0.37)

54.28% (

-0.37)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

24.32% (

0.31)

75.68% (

-0.31)

Almeria Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

78.09% (

0.91)

21.91% (

-0.91)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

44.83% (

1.36)

55.17% (

-1.36)

Osasuna Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

62.67% (

-0.95)

37.32% (

0.95)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

25.89% (

-0.95)

74.11% (

0.95)

Score Analysis

Almeria 49.61%

Osasuna 24.55%

Draw 25.82%

Almeria	Draw	Osasuna
1-0 @ 12.41% ( 0.15) 2-0 @ 9.43% ( 0.37) 2-1 @ 9.29% ( 0.13) 3-0 @ 4.77% ( 0.31) 3-1 @ 4.7% ( 0.19) 3-2 @ 2.32% ( 0.03) 4-0 @ 1.81% ( 0.16) 4-1 @ 1.78% ( 0.12) Other @ 3.11% Total : 49.61%	1-1 @ 12.23% ( -0.17) 0-0 @ 8.18% ( -0.12) 2-2 @ 4.58% ( -0.06) Other @ 0.84% Total : 25.82%	0-1 @ 8.06% ( -0.33) 1-2 @ 6.03% ( -0.24) 0-2 @ 3.97% ( -0.27) 1-3 @ 1.98% ( -0.13) 2-3 @ 1.5% ( -0.06) 0-3 @ 1.3% ( -0.13) Other @ 1.7% Total : 24.55%