Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Barcelona win with a probability of 81.21%. A draw had a probability of 12.2% and a win for Almeria had a probability of 6.58%.

The most likely scoreline for a Barcelona win was 2-0 with a probability of 11.38%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 3-0 (10.87%) and 2-1 (8.19%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (5.72%), while for an Almeria win it was 1-2 (2.06%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with an 11.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 2-0 win for Barcelona in this match and our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted the win for Barcelona.