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La Liga | Gameweek 15
Dec 3, 2023 at 8pm UK
Estadi Olimpic Lluis Companys
AM

Barcelona
1 - 0
Atletico

Felix (28')
Felix (50'), Torres (78'), Araujo (79'), Xavi (82'), Cancelo (87'), de Jong (90+3')
FT(HT: 1-0)

Gimenez (31'), Witsel (34'), Koke (38'), Azpilicueta (47')

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Barcelona 2-1 Porto
Tuesday, November 28 at 8pm in Champions League
Last Game: Feyenoord 1-3 Atletico
Tuesday, November 28 at 8pm in Champions League

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Barcelona win with a probability of 53.89%. A draw had a probability of 23.1% and a win for Atletico Madrid had a probability of 22.98%.

The most likely scoreline for a Barcelona win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.94%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.81%) and 2-0 (8.95%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.89%), while for an Atletico Madrid win it was 0-1 (6.04%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 9.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Barcelona in this match.

Result
BarcelonaDrawAtletico Madrid
53.89% (2.327 2.33) 23.12% (-0.337 -0.34) 22.98% (-1.989 -1.99)
Both teams to score 55.59% (-1.199 -1.2)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
55.35% (-0.503 -0.5)44.65% (0.504 0.5)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
32.98% (-0.489 -0.49)67.02% (0.489 0.49)
Barcelona Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
83.5% (0.65599999999999 0.66)16.5% (-0.655 -0.66)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
53.77% (1.168 1.17)46.23% (-1.166 -1.17)
Atletico Madrid Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
66.57% (-1.972 -1.97)33.42% (1.973 1.97)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
29.94% (-2.222 -2.22)70.05% (2.222 2.22)
Score Analysis
    Barcelona 53.89%
    Atletico Madrid 22.98%
    Draw 23.12%
BarcelonaDrawAtletico Madrid
1-0 @ 9.94% (0.425 0.42)
2-1 @ 9.81% (0.113 0.11)
2-0 @ 8.95% (0.568 0.57)
3-1 @ 5.89% (0.193 0.19)
3-0 @ 5.38% (0.45 0.45)
3-2 @ 3.23% (-0.068 -0.07)
4-1 @ 2.65% (0.143 0.14)
4-0 @ 2.42% (0.251 0.25)
4-2 @ 1.45% (0.002 0)
5-1 @ 0.96% (0.071 0.07)
Other @ 3.21%
Total : 53.89%
1-1 @ 10.89% (-0.11 -0.11)
0-0 @ 5.52% (0.119 0.12)
2-2 @ 5.38% (-0.233 -0.23)
3-3 @ 1.18% (-0.092 -0.09)
Other @ 0.16%
Total : 23.12%
0-1 @ 6.04% (-0.197 -0.2)
1-2 @ 5.97% (-0.396 -0.4)
0-2 @ 3.31% (-0.298 -0.3)
1-3 @ 2.18% (-0.274 -0.27)
2-3 @ 1.96% (-0.199 -0.2)
0-3 @ 1.21% (-0.182 -0.18)
Other @ 2.31%
Total : 22.98%

Read more!
Read more!
Form Guide
Last Game: Barcelona 2-1 Porto
Tuesday, November 28 at 8pm in Champions League
Last Game: Rayo Vallecano 1-1 Barcelona
Saturday, November 25 at 1pm in La Liga
Last Game: Barcelona 2-1 Alaves
Sunday, November 12 at 3.15pm in La Liga
Last Game: Shakhtar 1-0 Barcelona
Tuesday, November 7 at 5.45pm in Champions League
Last Game: Real Sociedad 0-1 Barcelona
Saturday, November 4 at 8pm in La Liga
Last Game: Barcelona 1-2 Real Madrid
Saturday, October 28 at 3.15pm in La Liga
Last Game: Feyenoord 1-3 Atletico
Tuesday, November 28 at 8pm in Champions League
Last Game: Atletico 1-0 Mallorca
Saturday, November 25 at 8pm in La Liga
Last Game: Atletico 3-1 Villarreal
Sunday, November 12 at 8pm in La Liga
Last Game: Atletico 6-0 Celtic
Tuesday, November 7 at 8pm in Champions League
Last Game: Las Palmas 2-1 Atletico
Friday, November 3 at 8pm in La Liga
Last Game: Atletico 2-1 Alaves
Sunday, October 29 at 8pm in La Liga


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