Barcelona need to back up their strong win over Real Sociedad last time out with another victory, and we are fully expecting Xavi's side to triumph here. Real Valladolid have quality and are capable of causing problems, but Barcelona should have too much for their opponents at Camp Nou.
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Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Barcelona win with a probability of 58.19%. A draw had a probability of 21.4% and a win for Real Valladolid had a probability of 20.36%.
The most likely scoreline for a Barcelona win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.92%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (9.07%) and 2-0 (9.05%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.94%), while for a Real Valladolid win it was 1-2 (5.45%). The actual scoreline of 4-0 was predicted with a 3% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Barcelona would win this match.
0.3) 
-0.05) 
