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La Liga | Gameweek 26
Feb 25, 2024 at 1pm UK
Estadio Nuevo Mirandilla
CV

Cadiz
2 - 2
Celta Vigo

Juanmi (66'), Machis (90+10')
Juanmi (72'), Alcaraz (86')
FT(HT: 0-1)
Aspas (11'), Swedberg (58')
Tapia (33'), Manquillo (41'), Aspas (76')

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Osasuna 2-0 Cadiz
Saturday, February 17 at 3.15pm in La Liga
Last Game: Celta Vigo 1-2 Barcelona
Saturday, February 17 at 5.30pm in La Liga

We said: Cadiz 1-1 Celta Vigo

It is so difficult to back either of these two sides at the moment, so we have had to settle on a 1-1 draw, which was also on the scoreline in the reverse meeting between the teams in Vigo earlier this season. The desire not to lose is expected to make Sunday's contest a tense and nervy affair. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Celta Vigo win with a probability of 40.76%. A win for Cadiz had a probability of 30.92% and a draw had a probability of 28.3%.

The most likely scoreline for a Celta Vigo win was 0-1 with a probability of 12.65%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.18%) and 0-2 (7.85%). The likeliest Cadiz win was 1-0 (10.63%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.18%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 4.3% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a draw in this match.

Result
CadizDrawCelta Vigo
30.92% (-0.291 -0.29) 28.32% (0.23 0.23) 40.76% (0.052 0.05)
Both teams to score 46% (-0.749 -0.75)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
39.93% (-0.891 -0.89)60.07% (0.884 0.88)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
19.71% (-0.684 -0.68)80.29% (0.676 0.68)
Cadiz Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
64.72% (-0.68899999999999 -0.69)35.28% (0.68 0.68)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
27.96% (-0.725 -0.73)72.04% (0.71599999999999 0.72)
Celta Vigo Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
71.07% (-0.40300000000001 -0.4)28.92% (0.394 0.39)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
35.2% (-0.498 -0.5)64.8% (0.489 0.49)
Score Analysis
    Cadiz 30.92%
    Celta Vigo 40.75%
    Draw 28.31%
CadizDrawCelta Vigo
1-0 @ 10.63% (0.16 0.16)
2-1 @ 6.87% (-0.103 -0.1)
2-0 @ 5.54% (-0.022 -0.02)
3-1 @ 2.39% (-0.081 -0.08)
3-0 @ 1.92% (-0.044 -0.04)
3-2 @ 1.48% (-0.067 -0.07)
Other @ 2.09%
Total : 30.92%
1-1 @ 13.18% (0.049999999999999 0.05)
0-0 @ 10.2% (0.331 0.33)
2-2 @ 4.26% (-0.112 -0.11)
Other @ 0.66%
Total : 28.31%
0-1 @ 12.65% (0.28 0.28)
1-2 @ 8.18% (-0.06 -0.06)
0-2 @ 7.85% (0.087000000000001 0.09)
1-3 @ 3.38% (-0.063 -0.06)
0-3 @ 3.25%
2-3 @ 1.76% (-0.067 -0.07)
1-4 @ 1.05% (-0.032 -0.03)
0-4 @ 1.01% (-0.011 -0.01)
Other @ 1.62%
Total : 40.75%

Read more!
Read more!
Form Guide
Last Game: Osasuna 2-0 Cadiz
Saturday, February 17 at 3.15pm in La Liga
Last Game: Cadiz 0-2 Betis
Friday, February 9 at 8pm in La Liga
Last Game: Villarreal 0-0 Cadiz
Sunday, February 4 at 1pm in La Liga
Last Game: Cadiz 0-0 Athletic Bilbao
Sunday, January 28 at 3.15pm in La Liga
Last Game: Alaves 1-0 Cadiz
Friday, January 19 at 8pm in La Liga
Last Game: Cadiz 1-4 Valencia
Sunday, January 14 at 3.15pm in La Liga
Last Game: Celta Vigo 1-2 Barcelona
Saturday, February 17 at 5.30pm in La Liga
Last Game: Getafe 3-2 Celta Vigo
Sunday, February 11 at 1pm in La Liga
Last Game: Osasuna 0-3 Celta Vigo
Sunday, February 4 at 3.15pm in La Liga
Last Game: Celta Vigo 0-1 Girona
Sunday, January 28 at 1pm in La Liga
Last Game: Celta Vigo 1-2 Real Sociedad
Tuesday, January 23 at 8.30pm in Copa del Rey
Last Game: Celta Vigo 0-1 Real Sociedad
Saturday, January 20 at 8pm in La Liga


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