Real Madrid's fitness problems are piling up, and Cadiz will fancy their chances of making this a difficult match for Ancelotti's side. Los Blancos still have more than enough quality to secure all three points, though, and we are expecting them to edge a close contest on Sunday evening.
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Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Real Madrid win with a probability of 58.11%. A draw had a probability of 22.6% and a win for Cadiz had a probability of 19.26%.
The most likely scoreline for a Real Madrid win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.26%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (10.35%) and 1-2 (9.88%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.75%), while for a Cadiz win it was 1-0 (5.85%). The actual scoreline of 0-3 was predicted with a 6.3% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Real Madrid would win this match.
0.73) 
-1.07) 
