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La Liga | Gameweek 19
Jan 21, 2021 at 8.30pm UK
Ipurua Municipal Stadium
AM

Eibar
1 - 2
Atletico

Dmitrovic (12' pen.)
Arbilla (82'), Kike (90+1'), Pozo (90+4')
FT(HT: 1-1)
Suarez (40', 89' pen.)
Felipe (62'), Savic (90+1')

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Atletico Madrid win with a probability of 56.52%. A draw had a probability of 25.3% and a win for Eibar had a probability of 18.15%.

The most likely scoreline for an Atletico Madrid win was 0-1 with a probability of 15.23%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (11.94%) and 1-2 (9.12%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.63%), while for a Eibar win it was 1-0 (7.42%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 9.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Atletico Madrid would win this match.

Result
EibarDrawAtletico Madrid
18.15%25.33%56.52%
Both teams to score 42.26%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
41.22%58.78%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
20.7%79.3%
Eibar Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
53.4%46.6%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
17.81%82.19%
Atletico Madrid Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
79.15%20.85%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
46.46%53.54%
Score Analysis
    Eibar 18.15%
    Atletico Madrid 56.51%
    Draw 25.33%
EibarDrawAtletico Madrid
1-0 @ 7.42%
2-1 @ 4.44%
2-0 @ 2.83%
3-1 @ 1.13%
Other @ 2.33%
Total : 18.15%
1-1 @ 11.63%
0-0 @ 9.72%
2-2 @ 3.48%
Other @ 0.5%
Total : 25.33%
0-1 @ 15.23%
0-2 @ 11.94%
1-2 @ 9.12%
0-3 @ 6.24%
1-3 @ 4.77%
0-4 @ 2.45%
1-4 @ 1.87%
2-3 @ 1.82%
Other @ 3.09%
Total : 56.51%

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