Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Atletico Madrid win with a probability of 56.52%. A draw had a probability of 25.3% and a win for Eibar had a probability of 18.15%.
The most likely scoreline for an Atletico Madrid win was 0-1 with a probability of 15.23%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (11.94%) and 1-2 (9.12%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.63%), while for a Eibar win it was 1-0 (7.42%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 9.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Atletico Madrid would win this match.