This is arguably now a tougher match for Getafe after Elche's relegation, as the team at the bottom of the table are now playing with freedom and have won two of their last three matches. Elche have lost each of their last five away league games, though, and we are backing Getafe to secure a huge three points here.
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Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Getafe win with a probability of 52.31%. A draw had a probability of 26.3% and a win for Elche had a probability of 21.37%.
The most likely scoreline for a Getafe win was 1-0 with a probability of 14.42%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.73%) and 2-1 (9.08%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.2%), while for a Elche win it was 0-1 (8.2%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 12.2% likelihood.
0.06) 
-0.08) 
