Rayo Vallecano are strong favourites to take three points from this clash, given their excellent home form this season including their strong defensive record on their own patch, which is why they are likely to keep a clean sheet.
The home side bounced back from league defeat in the Copa Del Rey but they now need to record three more points on the table as teams below them are not far behind pushing them out of the European places.
Read more.
Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Rayo Vallecano win with a probability of 53.41%. A draw had a probability of 26.9% and a win for Alaves had a probability of 19.66%.
The most likely scoreline for a Rayo Vallecano win was 1-0 with a probability of 15.99%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (11.53%) and 2-1 (8.73%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.1%), while for an Alaves win it was 0-1 (8.4%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with an 11.5% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 2-0 win for Rayo Vallecano in this match and our data analysis correctly predicted the win for Rayo Vallecano.
