Real Sociedad have found it difficult against Atletico in their recent meetings, and we are struggling to back the hosts with any real confidence here. Atletico were strong in their last game against Valencia and should have enough to pick up another three points on Saturday evening. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Atletico Madrid win with a probability of 36%. A win for Real Sociedad had a probability of 34.49% and a draw had a probability of 29.5%.

The most likely scoreline for an Atletico Madrid win was 0-1 with a probability of 12.67%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (7.34%) and 0-2 (6.92%). The likeliest Real Sociedad win was 1-0 (12.32%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.45%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 13.5% likelihood.

Result
Real Sociedad	Draw	Atletico Madrid
34.49% ( 0.5)	29.51% ( 0.17)	36% ( -0.68)

Both teams to score 43.45% (

-0.43)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

36.46% (

-0.54)

63.54% (

0.54)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

17.15% (

-0.39)

82.85% (

0.39)

Real Sociedad Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

65.41% (

0.06)

34.59% (

-0.06)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

28.68% (

0.06)

71.32% (

-0.06)

Atletico Madrid Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

66.42% (

-0.72)

33.57% (

0.72)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

29.78% (

-0.8)

70.22% (

0.79)

Score Analysis

Real Sociedad 34.48%

Atletico Madrid 36%

Draw 29.5%

Real Sociedad	Draw	Atletico Madrid
1-0 @ 12.32% ( 0.26) 2-1 @ 7.14% ( 0.03) 2-0 @ 6.54% ( 0.15) 3-1 @ 2.53% ( 0.01) 3-0 @ 2.32% ( 0.06) 3-2 @ 1.38% ( -0.02) Other @ 2.25% Total : 34.48%	1-1 @ 13.45% ( 0.02) 0-0 @ 11.61% ( 0.23) 2-2 @ 3.9% ( -0.06) Other @ 0.54% Total : 29.5%	0-1 @ 12.67% 1-2 @ 7.34% ( -0.13) 0-2 @ 6.92% ( -0.14) 1-3 @ 2.67% ( -0.1) 0-3 @ 2.52% ( -0.1) 2-3 @ 1.42% ( -0.05) Other @ 2.46% Total : 36%