With three points separating them from safety, Espanyol will be desperate to claim an away victory, but with their last two games against Valencia ending all square, we think that Sunday's contest will produce another draw.
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Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Valencia win with a probability of 53.44%. A draw had a probability of 25.1% and a win for Espanyol had a probability of 21.48%.
The most likely scoreline for a Valencia win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.02%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.38%) and 2-1 (9.45%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.85%), while for a Espanyol win it was 0-1 (7.43%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 4.3% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a draw in this match.
-5.01) 
1.94) 
