SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Bohemians win with a probability of 44.34%. A win for Sligo Rovers had a probability of 29.63% and a draw had a probability of 26%.
The most likely scoreline for a Bohemians win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.85%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.01%) and 2-0 (7.9%). The likeliest Sligo Rovers win was 0-1 (8.51%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.37%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 4.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Bohemians would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Bohemians | Draw | Sligo Rovers |
44.34% ( 0.46) | 26.03% ( -0.14) | 29.63% ( -0.33) |
| Both teams to score 52.16% ( 0.25) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 48.05% ( 0.4) | 51.94% ( -0.41) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 26.31% ( 0.35) | 73.69% ( -0.35) |
| Bohemians Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 76.67% ( 0.4) | 23.33% ( -0.4) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 42.71% ( 0.58) | 57.29% ( -0.58) |
| Sligo Rovers Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 68.03% ( -0.03) | 31.97% ( 0.03) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 31.58% ( -0.04) | 68.42% ( 0.03) |
| Score Analysis |
| Bohemians | Draw | Sligo Rovers |
| 1-0 @ 10.85% ( -0.05) 2-1 @ 9.01% ( 0.06)2-0 @ 7.9% ( 0.06)3-1 @ 4.37% ( 0.08)3-0 @ 3.83% ( 0.07)3-2 @ 2.49% ( 0.04)4-1 @ 1.59% ( 0.05)4-0 @ 1.39% ( 0.04)4-2 @ 0.91% ( 0.03)Other @ 1.99% Total : 44.33% | 1-1 @ 12.37% ( -0.07) 0-0 @ 7.46% ( -0.12)2-2 @ 5.14% ( 0.03)3-3 @ 0.95% ( 0.02)Other @ 0.11% Total : 26.02% | 0-1 @ 8.51% ( -0.15) 1-2 @ 7.06% ( -0.04)0-2 @ 4.85% ( -0.09)1-3 @ 2.68% ( -0.02)2-3 @ 1.95% ( 0.01)0-3 @ 1.84% ( -0.03)Other @ 2.74% Total : 29.64% |
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