SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Derry City win with a probability of 50.5%. A draw had a probability of 26.1% and a win for Bohemians had a probability of 23.39%.
The most likely scoreline for a Derry City win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.22%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.91%) and 2-1 (9.21%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.28%), while for a Bohemians win it was 0-1 (8.2%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with an 8.8% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a draw in this match.
| Result | ||
| Derry City | Draw | Bohemians |
50.5% ( -4.87) | 26.11% ( 0.99) | 23.39% ( 3.88) |
| Both teams to score 46.98% ( 2.15) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 43.75% ( 0.25) | 56.26% ( -0.25) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 22.7% ( 0.2) | 77.3% ( -0.2) |
| Derry City Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 77.66% ( -1.93) | 22.35% ( 1.94) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 44.17% ( -2.99) | 55.83% ( 2.99) |
| Bohemians Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 60.5% ( 4.17) | 39.5% ( -4.17) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 23.81% ( 3.66) | 76.19% ( -3.66) |
| Score Analysis |
| Derry City | Draw | Bohemians |
| 1-0 @ 13.22% ( -0.94) 2-0 @ 9.91% ( -1.34)2-1 @ 9.21% ( -0.12)3-0 @ 4.95% ( -1.01)3-1 @ 4.6% ( -0.34)3-2 @ 2.14% ( 0.09)4-0 @ 1.86% ( -0.51)4-1 @ 1.72% ( -0.24)Other @ 2.9% Total : 50.5% | 1-1 @ 12.28% ( 0.55) 0-0 @ 8.83% ( -0.09)2-2 @ 4.28% ( 0.41)Other @ 0.72% Total : 26.1% | 0-1 @ 8.2% ( 0.82) 1-2 @ 5.71% ( 0.85)0-2 @ 3.81% ( 0.75)1-3 @ 1.77% ( 0.43)2-3 @ 1.32% ( 0.26)0-3 @ 1.18% ( 0.33)Other @ 1.41% Total : 23.39% |
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