Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Derry City win with a probability of 52.4%. A draw had a probability of 25.6% and a win for Waterford United had a probability of 22%.
The most likely scoreline for a Derry City win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.33%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.31%) and 2-1 (9.33%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.05%), while for a Waterford United win it was 0-1 (7.79%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 5.4% likelihood.