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League of Ireland Premier | Gameweek 15
May 12, 2023 at 7.45pm UK
Oriel Park
CC

Dundalk
2 - 1
Cork City

Elliott (90+4'), Hoban (90+7')
Malley (56')
FT(HT: 0-1)
Owolabi (19')
Honohan (81'), Bolger (85')
Coverage of the League of Ireland Premier clash between Dundalk and Cork City.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Sligo 0-1 Dundalk
Saturday, May 6 at 7.45pm in League of Ireland Premier
Last Game: Cork City 2-3 St Patrick's
Friday, May 5 at 7.45pm in League of Ireland Premier

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Dundalk win with a probability of 49.47%. A win for Cork City had a probability of 26.05% and a draw had a probability of 24.5%.

The most likely scoreline for a Dundalk win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.33%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.54%) and 2-0 (8.49%). The likeliest Cork City win was 0-1 (7.07%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.6%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Dundalk would win this match.

Result
DundalkDrawCork City
49.47% (-1.058 -1.06) 24.49% (0.053999999999998 0.05) 26.05% (1.004 1)
Both teams to score 54.43% (0.785 0.79)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
52.25% (0.579 0.58)47.75% (-0.579 -0.58)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
30.06% (0.532 0.53)69.94% (-0.53099999999999 -0.53)
Dundalk Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
80.66% (-0.19800000000001 -0.2)19.34% (0.199 0.2)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
48.88% (-0.329 -0.33)51.12% (0.329 0.33)
Cork City Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
67.49% (1.136 1.14)32.51% (-1.136 -1.14)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
30.96% (1.257 1.26)69.04% (-1.256 -1.26)
Score Analysis
    Dundalk 49.47%
    Cork City 26.05%
    Draw 24.48%
DundalkDrawCork City
1-0 @ 10.33% (-0.31 -0.31)
2-1 @ 9.54% (-0.052999999999999 -0.05)
2-0 @ 8.49% (-0.316 -0.32)
3-1 @ 5.22% (-0.061999999999999 -0.06)
3-0 @ 4.65% (-0.203 -0.2)
3-2 @ 2.93% (0.056 0.06)
4-1 @ 2.15% (-0.039 -0.04)
4-0 @ 1.91% (-0.096 -0.1)
4-2 @ 1.21% (0.016 0.02)
Other @ 3.05%
Total : 49.47%
1-1 @ 11.6% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
0-0 @ 6.29% (-0.153 -0.15)
2-2 @ 5.36% (0.135 0.14)
3-3 @ 1.1% (0.053 0.05)
Other @ 0.14%
Total : 24.48%
0-1 @ 7.07% (0.05 0.05)
1-2 @ 6.52% (0.204 0.2)
0-2 @ 3.97% (0.148 0.15)
1-3 @ 2.44% (0.149 0.15)
2-3 @ 2.01% (0.11 0.11)
0-3 @ 1.49% (0.099 0.1)
Other @ 2.56%
Total : 26.05%

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Form Guide
Last Game: Sligo 0-1 Dundalk
Saturday, May 6 at 7.45pm in League of Ireland Premier
Last Game: UCD 0-2 Dundalk
Monday, May 1 at 5pm in League of Ireland Premier
Last Game: Dundalk 3-2 Drogheda
Friday, April 28 at 7.45pm in League of Ireland Premier
Last Game: Shelbourne 1-1 Dundalk
Friday, April 21 at 7.45pm in League of Ireland Premier
Last Game: Dundalk 2-2 Derry
Sunday, April 16 at 3pm in League of Ireland Premier
Last Game: Cork City 1-0 Dundalk
Monday, April 10 at 5pm in League of Ireland Premier
Last Game: Cork City 2-3 St Patrick's
Friday, May 5 at 7.45pm in League of Ireland Premier
Last Game: Bohemians 5-0 Cork City
Monday, May 1 at 5pm in League of Ireland Premier
Last Game: Shelbourne 2-1 Cork City
Friday, April 28 at 7.45pm in League of Ireland Premier
Last Game: Cork City 1-3 Derry
Friday, April 21 at 7.45pm in League of Ireland Premier
Last Game: UCD 1-0 Cork City
Friday, April 14 at 7.45pm in League of Ireland Premier
Last Game: Cork City 1-0 Dundalk
Monday, April 10 at 5pm in League of Ireland Premier


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