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League of Ireland Premier | Gameweek 16
Jun 18, 2021 at 8pm UK
Finn Park
DC

Finn Harps
1 - 2
Derry

Boyle (16')
Coyle (33')
FT(HT: 1-2)
Patching (9' pen., 45')
Patching (47'), (76')
Coverage of the League of Ireland Premier clash between Finn Harps and Derry City.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Derry City win with a probability of 42.2%. A draw had a probability of 30.3% and a win for Finn Harps had a probability of 27.54%.

The most likely scoreline for a Derry City win was 0-1 with a probability of 15.28%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (8.79%) and 1-2 (7.63%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 0-0 (13.29%), while for a Finn Harps win it was 1-0 (11.53%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 7.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Derry City would win this match.

Result
Finn HarpsDrawDerry City
27.54%30.27%42.2%
Both teams to score 39.64%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
32.81%67.19%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
14.61%85.39%
Finn Harps Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
58.02%41.98%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
21.58%78.42%
Derry City Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
68.33%31.67%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
31.92%68.08%
Score Analysis
    Finn Harps 27.53%
    Derry City 42.19%
    Draw 30.25%
Finn HarpsDrawDerry City
1-0 @ 11.53%
2-1 @ 5.76%
2-0 @ 5.01%
3-1 @ 1.67%
3-0 @ 1.45%
3-2 @ 0.96%
Other @ 1.16%
Total : 27.53%
0-0 @ 13.29%
1-1 @ 13.26%
2-2 @ 3.31%
Other @ 0.39%
Total : 30.25%
0-1 @ 15.28%
0-2 @ 8.79%
1-2 @ 7.63%
0-3 @ 3.37%
1-3 @ 2.92%
2-3 @ 1.27%
0-4 @ 0.97%
Other @ 1.96%
Total : 42.19%

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