SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Shamrock Rovers win with a probability of 77.87%. A draw had a probability of 15.1% and a win for Drogheda United had a probability of 7.05%.
The most likely scoreline for a Shamrock Rovers win was 2-0 with a probability of 14.79%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (12.39%) and 3-0 (11.77%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (7.07%), while for a Drogheda United win it was 0-1 (2.96%). The actual scoreline of 4-0 was predicted with a 7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Shamrock Rovers would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Shamrock Rovers | Draw | Drogheda United |
77.87% ( 0) | 15.07% ( -0.02) | 7.05% ( 0.01) |
| Both teams to score 39.49% ( 0.15) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 56.73% ( 0.15) | 43.27% ( -0.15) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 34.33% ( 0.15) | 65.67% ( -0.15) |
| Shamrock Rovers Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 90.81% ( 0.04) | 9.19% ( -0.04) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 68.88% ( 0.09) | 31.12% ( -0.09) |
| Drogheda United Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 43.48% ( 0.14) | 56.52% ( -0.14) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 11.23% ( 0.08) | 88.77% ( -0.08) |
| Score Analysis |
| Shamrock Rovers | Draw | Drogheda United |
| 2-0 @ 14.79% ( -0.05) 1-0 @ 12.39% ( -0.06)3-0 @ 11.77% ( -0.02)2-1 @ 8.44% ( 0.01)4-0 @ 7.03% ( 0)3-1 @ 6.72% ( 0.02)4-1 @ 4.01% ( 0.02)5-0 @ 3.36% ( 0.01)3-2 @ 1.92% ( 0.01)5-1 @ 1.92% ( 0.01)6-0 @ 1.34% ( 0)4-2 @ 1.14% ( 0.01)Other @ 3.04% Total : 77.86% | 1-1 @ 7.07% ( -0) 0-0 @ 5.19% ( -0.04)2-2 @ 2.41% ( 0.01)Other @ 0.4% Total : 15.07% | 0-1 @ 2.96% ( -0.01) 1-2 @ 2.02% ( 0.01)Other @ 2.07% Total : 7.05% |
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