Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a St Patrick's Athletic win with a probability of 35.11%. A win for Bohemians had a probability of 34.18% and a draw had a probability of 30.7%.
The most likely scoreline for a St Patrick's Athletic win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.54%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (6.89%) and 2-1 (6.88%). The likeliest Bohemians win was 0-1 (13.31%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.53%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 6.8% likelihood.