Possessing the best attacking record in the bottom half of the table, Cork should not necessarily be ruled out of claiming something from this fixture. Nevertheless, despite their issues in defence, we still see St Patrick's eventually running away with this contest.
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Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a St Patrick's Athletic win with a probability of 62.88%. A draw had a probability of 22.5% and a win for Cork City had a probability of 14.64%.
The most likely scoreline for a St Patrick's Athletic win was 1-0 with a probability of 14.42%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (12.93%) and 2-1 (9.4%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.48%), while for a Cork City win it was 0-1 (5.85%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 10.5% likelihood.
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