Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Bolton Wanderers win with a probability of 65.29%. A draw had a probability of 20.5% and a win for Shrewsbury Town had a probability of 14.16%.
The most likely scoreline for a Bolton Wanderers win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.19%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (12.15%) and 2-1 (9.73%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.76%), while for a Shrewsbury Town win it was 0-1 (4.9%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 12.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Bolton Wanderers in this match.
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