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League One | Gameweek 43
Apr 20, 2021 at 7pm UK
Memorial Stadium
MD

Bristol Rovers
0 - 2
MK Dons


Rodman (42'), McCormick (70'), Martinez (85'), Kilgour (90+1')
FT(HT: 0-1)
Fraser (17'), Grigg (60')
Sorinola (45'), Kasumu (55'), Fisher (78')
Coverage of the League One clash between Bristol Rovers and MK Dons.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a MK Dons win with a probability of 42.5%. A win for Bristol Rovers had a probability of 31.15% and a draw had a probability of 26.3%.

The most likely scoreline for a MK Dons win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.75%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.81%) and 0-2 (7.56%). The likeliest Bristol Rovers win was 1-0 (8.91%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.52%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 7.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that MK Dons would win this match.

Result
Bristol RoversDrawMK Dons
31.15%26.34%42.5%
Both teams to score 51.92%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
47.4%52.59%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
25.75%74.25%
Bristol Rovers Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
68.78%31.21%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
32.44%67.56%
MK Dons Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
75.48%24.51%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
41.01%58.98%
Score Analysis
    Bristol Rovers 31.15%
    MK Dons 42.5%
    Draw 26.33%
Bristol RoversDrawMK Dons
1-0 @ 8.91%
2-1 @ 7.29%
2-0 @ 5.19%
3-1 @ 2.83%
3-0 @ 2.01%
3-2 @ 1.99%
Other @ 2.93%
Total : 31.15%
1-1 @ 12.52%
0-0 @ 7.65%
2-2 @ 5.13%
3-3 @ 0.93%
Other @ 0.1%
Total : 26.33%
0-1 @ 10.75%
1-2 @ 8.81%
0-2 @ 7.56%
1-3 @ 4.13%
0-3 @ 3.54%
2-3 @ 2.4%
1-4 @ 1.45%
0-4 @ 1.25%
Other @ 2.61%
Total : 42.5%

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