Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Bristol Rovers win with a probability of 38.32%. A win for Burton Albion had a probability of 36.25% and a draw had a probability of 25.4%.
The most likely scoreline for a Bristol Rovers win was 0-1 with a probability of 8.83%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.46%) and 0-2 (6.21%). The likeliest Burton Albion win was 1-0 (8.54%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.02%). The actual scoreline of 4-1 was predicted with a 1.3% likelihood.
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