Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Port Vale win with a probability of 50.95%. A draw had a probability of 26.5% and a win for Burton Albion had a probability of 22.57%.
The most likely scoreline for a Port Vale win was 0-1 with a probability of 13.99%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (10.29%) and 1-2 (9.07%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.33%), while for a Burton Albion win it was 1-0 (8.39%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 10.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Port Vale would win this match.
-0.08) 
0.61) 
