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League One | Gameweek 19
Nov 19, 2022 at 3pm UK
Abbey Stadium
AS

Cambridge
0 - 1
Accrington


Williams (65')
FT(HT: 0-1)
Rodgers (45+2')
Perritt (90+3')

We said: Cambridge United 1-0 Accrington Stanley

We are not expecting this to be an open and entertaining affair given the fact that both sides have only found the net 18 times this season. One goal could decide the contest, and with Cambridge in slightly better form, we fancy the home side to win this one. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Accrington Stanley win with a probability of 39.73%. A win for Cambridge United had a probability of 33.31% and a draw had a probability of 27%.

The most likely scoreline for an Accrington Stanley win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.84%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.42%) and 0-2 (7.13%). The likeliest Cambridge United win was 1-0 (9.73%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.79%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 10.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 0-1 win for Accrington Stanley in this match.

Result
Cambridge UnitedDrawAccrington Stanley
33.31% (-0.035999999999994 -0.04) 26.95% (0.0069999999999979 0.01) 39.73% (0.028999999999996 0.03)
Both teams to score 50.7% (-0.030999999999999 -0.03)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
45.52% (-0.034999999999997 -0.03)54.48% (0.033999999999999 0.03)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
24.16% (-0.027000000000001 -0.03)75.84% (0.027000000000001 0.03)
Cambridge United Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
69.29% (-0.042000000000002 -0.04)30.7% (0.039000000000001 0.04)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
33.04% (-0.048000000000002 -0.05)66.96% (0.046999999999997 0.05)
Accrington Stanley Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
73.16% (-0.0020000000000095 -0)26.84% (0.0010000000000012 0)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
37.86% (-0.0010000000000048 -0)62.14%
Score Analysis
    Cambridge United 33.31%
    Accrington Stanley 39.73%
    Draw 26.95%
Cambridge UnitedDrawAccrington Stanley
1-0 @ 9.73% (0.0019999999999989 0)
2-1 @ 7.56% (-0.008 -0.01)
2-0 @ 5.74% (-0.0049999999999999 -0)
3-1 @ 2.97% (-0.0059999999999998 -0.01)
3-0 @ 2.26% (-0.0050000000000003 -0.01)
3-2 @ 1.96% (-0.004 -0)
Other @ 3.1%
Total : 33.31%
1-1 @ 12.79%
0-0 @ 8.24% (0.011000000000001 0.01)
2-2 @ 4.97% (-0.0049999999999999 -0)
Other @ 0.95%
Total : 26.95%
0-1 @ 10.84% (0.02 0.02)
1-2 @ 8.42% (0.0019999999999989 0)
0-2 @ 7.13% (0.0089999999999995 0.01)
1-3 @ 3.69% (0.00099999999999989 0)
0-3 @ 3.13% (0.004 0)
2-3 @ 2.18% (-0.0020000000000002 -0)
1-4 @ 1.21%
0-4 @ 1.03% (0.0010000000000001 0)
Other @ 2.11%
Total : 39.73%

Read more!
Read more!
Form Guide
Last Game: Cambridge 0-0 Curzon Ashton (4-2 pen.)
Tuesday, November 15 at 7.45pm in FA Cup
Last Game: Cambridge 0-0 Bolton
Saturday, November 12 at 3pm in League One
Last Game: Curzon Ashton 0-0 Cambridge
Sunday, November 6 at 2pm in FA Cup
Last Game: Peterborough 1-0 Cambridge
Saturday, October 29 at 3pm in League One
Last Game: Wycombe 2-3 Cambridge
Tuesday, October 25 at 7.45pm in League One
Last Game: Cambridge 0-1 Port Vale
Saturday, October 22 at 3pm in League One
Last Game: Accrington 0-1 Sheff Weds
Saturday, November 12 at 3pm in League One
Last Game: Crawley 1-4 Accrington
Saturday, November 5 at 3pm in FA Cup
Last Game: Lincoln 1-1 Accrington
Tuesday, November 1 at 7.45pm in League One
Last Game: Fleetwood 3-0 Accrington
Saturday, October 29 at 3pm in League One
Last Game: Peterborough 3-1 Accrington
Tuesday, October 25 at 7.45pm in League One
Last Game: Accrington 2-3 Bolton
Saturday, October 22 at 3pm in League One


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