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League One | Gameweek 11
Oct 3, 2023 at 7.45pm UK
Abbey Stadium
B

Cambridge
0 - 4
Barnsley


Morrison (59'), Lankester (63')
FT(HT: 0-2)
Cadden (7'), Durand de Gevigney (33'), Watters (59'), Russell (83')
Styles (67'), Cadden (79')

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Barnsley 0-1 Blackpool
Saturday, September 30 at 3pm in League One

We said: Cambridge United 1-1 Barnsley

Cambridge have proven tough to beat under Bonner once again this season, and they are likely to target Barnsley in the form of a direct approach on Tuesday. The visitors are still finding their feet under Collins' tutelage, but we expect their slick play in possession to help them come away from the Abbey Stadium with a share of the spoils. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Barnsley win with a probability of 46.02%. A win for Cambridge United had a probability of 27.85% and a draw had a probability of 26.1%.

The most likely scoreline for a Barnsley win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.5%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.1%) and 0-2 (8.43%). The likeliest Cambridge United win was 1-0 (8.47%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.41%). The actual scoreline of 0-4 was predicted with a 1.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Barnsley would win this match.

Result
Cambridge UnitedDrawBarnsley
27.85% (-0.444 -0.44) 26.13% (0.245 0.25) 46.02% (0.195 0.2)
Both teams to score 50.76% (-1.045 -1.05)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
46.76% (-1.216 -1.22)53.24% (1.213 1.21)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
25.2% (-1.041 -1.04)74.8% (1.037 1.04)
Cambridge United Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
66% (-0.98599999999999 -0.99)33.99% (0.982 0.98)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
29.33% (-1.075 -1.08)70.67% (1.071 1.07)
Barnsley Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
76.9% (-0.431 -0.43)23.09% (0.427 0.43)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
43.06% (-0.631 -0.63)56.94% (0.628 0.63)
Score Analysis
    Cambridge United 27.85%
    Barnsley 46.01%
    Draw 26.12%
Cambridge UnitedDrawBarnsley
1-0 @ 8.47% (0.177 0.18)
2-1 @ 6.7% (-0.124 -0.12)
2-0 @ 4.57% (-0.026 -0.03)
3-1 @ 2.41% (-0.112 -0.11)
3-2 @ 1.77% (-0.105 -0.11)
3-0 @ 1.64% (-0.054 -0.05)
Other @ 2.3%
Total : 27.85%
1-1 @ 12.41% (0.11 0.11)
0-0 @ 7.85% (0.368 0.37)
2-2 @ 4.91% (-0.154 -0.15)
Other @ 0.95%
Total : 26.12%
0-1 @ 11.5% (0.4 0.4)
1-2 @ 9.1% (-0.038 -0.04)
0-2 @ 8.43% (0.189 0.19)
1-3 @ 4.44% (-0.076 -0.08)
0-3 @ 4.12% (0.040999999999999 0.04)
2-3 @ 2.4% (-0.107 -0.11)
1-4 @ 1.63% (-0.049 -0.05)
0-4 @ 1.51% (-0.004 -0)
Other @ 2.89%
Total : 46.01%

Read more!
Read more!
Form Guide
Last Game: Derby 0-0 Cambridge
Saturday, September 30 at 3pm in League One
Last Game: Cambridge 1-1 Port Vale
Saturday, September 23 at 3pm in League One
Last Game: Wigan 2-1 Cambridge
Saturday, September 16 at 3pm in League One
Last Game: Peterborough 2-0 Cambridge
Tuesday, September 12 at 7pm in EFL Trophy
Last Game: Cambridge 1-0 Reading
Monday, September 4 at 8pm in League One
Last Game: Leyton Orient 2-0 Cambridge
Saturday, August 26 at 3pm in League One
Last Game: Barnsley 0-1 Blackpool
Saturday, September 30 at 3pm in League One
Last Game: Barnsley 3-1 Man City U21s
Tuesday, September 26 at 7.30pm in EFL Trophy
Last Game: Northampton 1-2 Barnsley
Saturday, September 23 at 3pm in League One
Last Game: Barnsley 2-3 Portsmouth
Tuesday, September 19 at 7.45pm in League One
Last Game: Barnsley 2-0 Burton Albion
Saturday, September 16 at 3pm in League One
Last Game: Barnsley 2-0 Grimsby Town
Tuesday, September 5 at 7.30pm in EFL Trophy


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