Although Barnsley experienced a disappointing result at the weekend, we think that the promotion hopefuls will issue an immediate response and return to winning ways against a struggling Carlisle side.
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Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Barnsley win with a probability of 59.21%. A draw had a probability of 21.8% and a win for Carlisle United had a probability of 18.98%.
The most likely scoreline for a Barnsley win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.36%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (10%) and 1-2 (9.95%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.3%), while for a Carlisle United win it was 1-0 (5.34%). The actual scoreline of 2-3 was predicted with a 3.2% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Barnsley would win this match.
1.03) 
-2.23) 
