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League One | Gameweek 14
Oct 19, 2021 at 7.45pm UK
The Valley
AS

Charlton
2 - 3
Accrington

Morgan (31' og.), Stockley (78')
Souare (26'), Morgan (29'), Clare (34'), Gunter (69')
FT(HT: 1-1)
Pell (9', 57'), Hamilton (66')
Morgan (84'), Sherring (89'), Conneely (90+1')

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Charlton Athletic win with a probability of 55.2%. A draw had a probability of 23.1% and a win for Accrington Stanley had a probability of 21.74%.

The most likely scoreline for a Charlton Athletic win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.46%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.85%) and 2-0 (9.44%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.91%), while for an Accrington Stanley win it was 0-1 (6.05%). The actual scoreline of 2-3 was predicted with a 1.8% likelihood.

Result
Charlton AthleticDrawAccrington Stanley
55.2%23.07%21.74%
Both teams to score 54.11%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
54.17%45.83%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
31.86%68.15%
Charlton Athletic Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
83.54%16.47%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
53.84%46.17%
Accrington Stanley Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
64.77%35.24%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
28.02%71.99%
Score Analysis
    Charlton Athletic 55.2%
    Accrington Stanley 21.74%
    Draw 23.06%
Charlton AthleticDrawAccrington Stanley
1-0 @ 10.46%
2-1 @ 9.85%
2-0 @ 9.44%
3-1 @ 5.92%
3-0 @ 5.68%
3-2 @ 3.09%
4-1 @ 2.67%
4-0 @ 2.56%
4-2 @ 1.39%
5-1 @ 0.96%
5-0 @ 0.92%
Other @ 2.26%
Total : 55.2%
1-1 @ 10.91%
0-0 @ 5.8%
2-2 @ 5.14%
3-3 @ 1.07%
Other @ 0.14%
Total : 23.06%
0-1 @ 6.05%
1-2 @ 5.69%
0-2 @ 3.16%
1-3 @ 1.98%
2-3 @ 1.79%
0-3 @ 1.1%
Other @ 1.97%
Total : 21.74%

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