SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Bolton Wanderers win with a probability of 45.56%. A win for Cheltenham Town had a probability of 28.86% and a draw had a probability of 25.6%.
The most likely scoreline for a Bolton Wanderers win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.61%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.17%) and 0-2 (8%). The likeliest Cheltenham Town win was 1-0 (8.07%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.16%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with an 8.1% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Cheltenham Town | Draw | Bolton Wanderers |
28.86% ( 2.15) | 25.59% ( -0.13) | 45.56% ( -2.01) |
| Both teams to score 53.09% ( 1.94) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 49.48% ( 1.81) | 50.53% ( -1.8) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 27.55% ( 1.58) | 72.45% ( -1.57) |
| Cheltenham Town Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 68.2% ( 2.62) | 31.81% ( -2.61) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 31.76% ( 2.9) | 68.24% ( -2.89) |
| Bolton Wanderers Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 77.85% ( -0.15) | 22.15% ( 0.16) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 44.46% ( -0.23) | 55.54% ( 0.24) |
| Score Analysis |
| Cheltenham Town | Draw | Bolton Wanderers |
| 1-0 @ 8.07% ( -0) 2-1 @ 6.97% ( 0.45)2-0 @ 4.62% ( 0.32)3-1 @ 2.66% ( 0.34)3-2 @ 2.01% ( 0.25)3-0 @ 1.77% ( 0.23)Other @ 2.76% Total : 28.86% | 1-1 @ 12.16% ( -0.06) 0-0 @ 7.05% ( -0.53)2-2 @ 5.25% ( 0.31)3-3 @ 1.01% ( 0.12)Other @ 0.12% Total : 25.58% | 0-1 @ 10.61% ( -0.85) 1-2 @ 9.17% ( -0.09)0-2 @ 8% ( -0.68)1-3 @ 4.61% ( -0.07)0-3 @ 4.02% ( -0.36)2-3 @ 2.64% ( 0.15)1-4 @ 1.74% ( -0.03)0-4 @ 1.52% ( -0.14)2-4 @ 0.99% ( 0.05)Other @ 2.26% Total : 45.55% |
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