While the hosts have been very poor this season, they were arguably a little unlucky not to score in their last match, having recorded more shots on target than their opponents. The Robbins may not go on to win this match, but we feel that they will break their duck in front of goal in this one.
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Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Fleetwood Town win with a probability of 50.36%. A win for Cheltenham Town had a probability of 25.2% and a draw had a probability of 24.4%.
The most likely scoreline for a Fleetwood Town win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.59%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.58%) and 0-2 (8.75%). The likeliest Cheltenham Town win was 1-0 (7.02%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.59%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with an 8.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Fleetwood Town would win this match.
0.3) 
-0.41) 
