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League One | Gameweek 1
Aug 5, 2023 at 3pm UK
Pride Park Stadium
WL

Derby
1 - 2
Wigan

Forsyth (57')
Smith (37'), Cashin (48')
FT(HT: 0-1)
Wyke (37', 72')
Hughes (49'), Smith (88')

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Derby 1-3 Sheff Utd
Saturday, July 29 at 3pm in Club Friendlies 1
Last Game: Wigan 0-1 Everton
Saturday, July 22 at 2pm in Club Friendlies 1

We said: Derby County 2-1 Wigan Athletic

Derby come into this match in better form than their opponents, and we are expecting them to start the campaign strongly here to match their promotion ambitions. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Derby County win with a probability of 47.34%. A draw had a probability of 26.5% and a win for Wigan Athletic had a probability of 26.17%.

The most likely scoreline for a Derby County win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.47%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.07%) and 2-0 (9.03%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.52%), while for a Wigan Athletic win it was 0-1 (8.65%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 6.3% likelihood.

Result
Derby CountyDrawWigan Athletic
47.34% (-2.644 -2.64) 26.49% (0.364 0.36) 26.17% (2.282 2.28)
Both teams to score 48.47% (1.022 1.02)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
44.38% (0.294 0.29)55.62% (-0.29499999999999 -0.29)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
23.22% (0.242 0.24)76.78% (-0.239 -0.24)
Derby County Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
76.5% (-1.071 -1.07)23.5% (1.072 1.07)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
42.47% (-1.579 -1.58)57.53% (1.58 1.58)
Wigan Athletic Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
63.35% (2.193 2.19)36.65% (-2.191 -2.19)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
26.57% (2.137 2.14)73.44% (-2.136 -2.14)
Score Analysis
    Derby County 47.34%
    Wigan Athletic 26.17%
    Draw 26.49%
Derby CountyDrawWigan Athletic
1-0 @ 12.47% (-0.55 -0.55)
2-1 @ 9.07% (-0.14 -0.14)
2-0 @ 9.03% (-0.702 -0.7)
3-1 @ 4.38% (-0.211 -0.21)
3-0 @ 4.36% (-0.491 -0.49)
3-2 @ 2.2% (0.027 0.03)
4-1 @ 1.58% (-0.13 -0.13)
4-0 @ 1.58% (-0.234 -0.23)
Other @ 2.68%
Total : 47.34%
1-1 @ 12.52% (0.21 0.21)
0-0 @ 8.61% (-0.098000000000001 -0.1)
2-2 @ 4.55% (0.197 0.2)
Other @ 0.81%
Total : 26.49%
0-1 @ 8.65% (0.407 0.41)
1-2 @ 6.28% (0.461 0.46)
0-2 @ 4.34% (0.443 0.44)
1-3 @ 2.1% (0.267 0.27)
2-3 @ 1.52% (0.151 0.15)
0-3 @ 1.45% (0.224 0.22)
Other @ 1.82%
Total : 26.17%

Read more!
Read more!
Form Guide
Last Game: Derby 1-3 Sheff Utd
Saturday, July 29 at 3pm in Club Friendlies 1
Last Game: Derby 3-0 Stoke
Saturday, July 22 at 3pm in Club Friendlies 1
Last Game: Sheff Weds 1-0 Derby
Sunday, May 7 at 12pm in League One
Last Game: Derby 1-1 Portsmouth
Saturday, April 29 at 3pm in League One
Last Game: Derby 1-0 Burton Albion
Saturday, April 22 at 3pm in League One
Last Game: Exeter 1-2 Derby
Tuesday, April 18 at 7.45pm in League One
Last Game: Wigan 0-1 Everton
Saturday, July 22 at 2pm in Club Friendlies 1
Last Game: Wigan 0-0 Rotherham
Monday, May 8 at 3pm in Championship
Last Game: Reading 1-1 Wigan
Saturday, April 29 at 3pm in Championship
Last Game: Wigan 2-1 Millwall
Saturday, April 22 at 3pm in Championship
Last Game: Stoke 0-1 Wigan
Tuesday, April 18 at 7.45pm in Championship
Last Game: Blackpool 1-0 Wigan
Saturday, April 15 at 3pm in Championship


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