With the visitors having failed to win in two matches, Exeter will fancy their chances of causing a surprise at the weekend. However, possessing the best away record in the division, we have to back Ipswich to edge this contest, potentially with a late goal.
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Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Ipswich Town win with a probability of 49.08%. A win for Exeter City had a probability of 26.8% and a draw had a probability of 24.1%.
The most likely scoreline for a Ipswich Town win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.64%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.54%) and 0-2 (8.1%). The likeliest Exeter City win was 1-0 (6.77%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.36%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with an 8.1% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Ipswich Town would win this match.
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