We are predicting Fleetwood to frustrate their visitors and pick up a point on Tuesday, with them capitalising on their opponent's recent dip in form.
Should Hardie be fit for Plymouth, they will be confident of picking up the win, but Fleetwood's home advantage means we believe they are capable of getting something out of the game.
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Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Fleetwood Town win with a probability of 38.14%. A win for Plymouth Argyle had a probability of 36.06% and a draw had a probability of 25.8%.
The most likely scoreline for a Fleetwood Town win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.22%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.41%) and 2-0 (6.33%). The likeliest Plymouth Argyle win was 0-1 (8.91%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.24%). The actual scoreline of 3-3 was predicted with a 1.1% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a draw in this match.
