Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Ipswich Town win with a probability of 44.56%. A win for Gillingham had a probability of 28.84% and a draw had a probability of 26.6%.
The most likely scoreline for a Ipswich Town win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.67%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.91%) and 0-2 (8.24%). The likeliest Gillingham win was 1-0 (8.94%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.61%). The actual scoreline of 0-4 was predicted with a 1.4% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Ipswich Town would win this match.
