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League One | Gameweek 12
Oct 9, 2021 at 3pm UK
Portman Road
ST

Ipswich
2 - 1
Shrewsbury

Chaplin (23'), Bonne (54')
Burgess (39'), Fraser (90+2'), Edmundson (90+3')
FT(HT: 1-1)
Whalley (28')
Pierre (68')

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Ipswich Town win with a probability of 53.89%. A draw had a probability of 25.1% and a win for Shrewsbury Town had a probability of 21.05%.

The most likely scoreline for a Ipswich Town win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.21%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.55%) and 2-1 (9.44%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.82%), while for a Shrewsbury Town win it was 0-1 (7.4%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Ipswich Town would win this match.

Result
Ipswich TownDrawShrewsbury Town
53.89%25.06%21.05%
Both teams to score 47.15%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
45.41%54.59%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
24.07%75.93%
Ipswich Town Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
79.76%20.24%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
47.43%52.57%
Shrewsbury Town Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
59.12%40.88%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
22.55%77.45%
Score Analysis
    Ipswich Town 53.87%
    Shrewsbury Town 21.05%
    Draw 25.05%
Ipswich TownDrawShrewsbury Town
1-0 @ 13.21%
2-0 @ 10.55%
2-1 @ 9.44%
3-0 @ 5.62%
3-1 @ 5.03%
3-2 @ 2.25%
4-0 @ 2.25%
4-1 @ 2.01%
Other @ 3.52%
Total : 53.87%
1-1 @ 11.82%
0-0 @ 8.27%
2-2 @ 4.22%
Other @ 0.73%
Total : 25.05%
0-1 @ 7.4%
1-2 @ 5.29%
0-2 @ 3.31%
1-3 @ 1.58%
2-3 @ 1.26%
0-3 @ 0.99%
Other @ 1.23%
Total : 21.05%

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