Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a MK Dons win with a probability of 41.09%. A win for Burton Albion had a probability of 33.8% and a draw had a probability of 25.1%.
The most likely scoreline for a MK Dons win was 1-0 with a probability of 8.92%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.8%) and 2-0 (6.63%). The likeliest Burton Albion win was 0-1 (7.95%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.83%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with an 8.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for MK Dons in this match.