Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a MK Dons win with a probability of 42.13%. A win for Morecambe had a probability of 30.47% and a draw had a probability of 27.4%.
The most likely scoreline for a MK Dons win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.96%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.54%) and 0-2 (7.91%). The likeliest Morecambe win was 1-0 (9.78%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.92%). The actual scoreline of 0-4 was predicted with a 1.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that MK Dons would win this match.
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