Peterborough have been very disappointing on the road all season, while Morecambe have been decent at the Mazuma Stadium, ranking in the top half for points acquired on home soil, so we expect this one to play out as a draw.
The Posh will be very keen to get back to winning ways after terrible recent form, but they came unstuck against Fleetwood last time out, and it would not be a surprise if they struggled again against the Shrimps.
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Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Peterborough United win with a probability of 49.82%. A win for Morecambe had a probability of 25.74% and a draw had a probability of 24.4%.
The most likely scoreline for a Peterborough United win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.38%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.56%) and 0-2 (8.57%). The likeliest Morecambe win was 1-0 (7.02%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.58%). The actual scoreline of 0-3 was predicted with a 4.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Peterborough United would win this match.
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