Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Plymouth Argyle win with a probability of 68.7%. A draw had a probability of 18.7% and a win for Cambridge United had a probability of 12.63%.
The most likely scoreline for a Plymouth Argyle win was 2-0 with a probability of 11.89%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (10.88%) and 2-1 (9.69%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.87%), while for a Cambridge United win it was 0-1 (4.06%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 7.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Plymouth Argyle would win this match.
-0.1) 
0.02) 
