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League One | Gameweek 28
Jan 21, 2023 at 3pm UK
Home Park
CT

Plymouth
4 - 2
Cheltenham

Scarr (26'), Hardie (28'), Wright (64'), Cosgrove (83')
FT(HT: 2-1)
Perry (40'), May (70')
Bonds (79')

Form, Standings, Stats

We said: Plymouth Argyle 2-0 Cheltenham Town

Plymouth will be desperate to return to winning ways sooner rather than later and will likely see Saturday as a great opportunity to do so on home turf. With home advantage and quality all over the pitch, we back the league leaders to come out on top at the weekend. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Plymouth Argyle win with a probability of 65.02%. A draw had a probability of 20.2% and a win for Cheltenham Town had a probability of 14.73%.

The most likely scoreline for a Plymouth Argyle win was 2-0 with a probability of 11.52%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (11.27%) and 2-1 (9.84%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.62%), while for a Cheltenham Town win it was 0-1 (4.71%). The actual scoreline of 4-2 was predicted with a 1.5% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Plymouth Argyle would win this match.

Result
Plymouth ArgyleDrawCheltenham Town
65.02% (-0.021000000000001 -0.02) 20.24% (-0.018000000000001 -0.02) 14.73% (0.041 0.04)
Both teams to score 49.97% (0.157 0.16)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
55.34% (0.15900000000001 0.16)44.66% (-0.158 -0.16)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
32.98% (0.153 0.15)67.02% (-0.152 -0.15)
Plymouth Argyle Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
87.05% (0.043000000000006 0.04)12.95% (-0.042 -0.04)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
60.58% (0.087000000000003 0.09)39.42% (-0.085999999999999 -0.09)
Cheltenham Town Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
57.4% (0.152 0.15)42.6% (-0.151 -0.15)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
21.05% (0.128 0.13)78.95% (-0.126 -0.13)
Score Analysis
    Plymouth Argyle 65.01%
    Cheltenham Town 14.73%
    Draw 20.24%
Plymouth ArgyleDrawCheltenham Town
2-0 @ 11.52% (-0.040000000000001 -0.04)
1-0 @ 11.27% (-0.06 -0.06)
2-1 @ 9.84% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)
3-0 @ 7.85% (-0.016 -0.02)
3-1 @ 6.7% (0.015 0.01)
4-0 @ 4.01% (-0.0020000000000007 -0)
4-1 @ 3.42% (0.013 0.01)
3-2 @ 2.86% (0.018 0.02)
5-0 @ 1.64% (0.002 0)
4-2 @ 1.46% (0.012 0.01)
5-1 @ 1.4% (0.008 0.01)
Other @ 3.04%
Total : 65.01%
1-1 @ 9.62% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
0-0 @ 5.52% (-0.037999999999999 -0.04)
2-2 @ 4.2% (0.019 0.02)
Other @ 0.91%
Total : 20.24%
0-1 @ 4.71% (-0.012 -0.01)
1-2 @ 4.11% (0.013 0.01)
0-2 @ 2.01% (0.0030000000000001 0)
2-3 @ 1.19% (0.011 0.01)
1-3 @ 1.17% (0.0089999999999999 0.01)
Other @ 1.55%
Total : 14.73%

Read more!
Read more!
Form Guide
Last Game: Ipswich 1-1 Plymouth
Saturday, January 14 at 3pm in League One
Last Game: Bristol Rovers 0-2 Plymouth
Tuesday, January 10 at 7.45pm in EFL Trophy
Last Game: Bolton 0-0 Plymouth
Saturday, January 7 at 3pm in League One
Last Game: Plymouth 3-1 MK Dons
Sunday, January 1 at 3pm in League One
Last Game: Plymouth 1-0 Wycombe
Thursday, December 29 at 7.45pm in League One
Last Game: Cheltenham 0-1 Plymouth
Monday, December 26 at 3pm in League One
Last Game: Cheltenham 2-3 Derby
Saturday, January 14 at 3pm in League One
Last Game: Cheltenham 3-1 Salford City
Tuesday, January 10 at 7.45pm in EFL Trophy
Last Game: Morecambe 2-1 Cheltenham
Saturday, January 7 at 3pm in League One
Last Game: Bristol Rovers 2-1 Cheltenham
Sunday, January 1 at 3pm in League One
Last Game: Shrewsbury 0-1 Cheltenham
Thursday, December 29 at 7.45pm in League One
Last Game: Cheltenham 0-1 Plymouth
Monday, December 26 at 3pm in League One


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