Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Portsmouth win with a probability of 59.77%. A draw had a probability of 22.1% and a win for Accrington Stanley had a probability of 18.15%.
The most likely scoreline for a Portsmouth win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.25%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.61%) and 2-1 (9.9%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.49%), while for an Accrington Stanley win it was 0-1 (5.56%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 5.6% likelihood.
