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League One | Gameweek 24
Jan 16, 2021 at 3pm UK
The Energy Check County Ground
DR

Swindon
1 - 2
Doncaster

Hope (73')
Conroy (64'), Thompson (66'), Curran (76')
FT(HT: 0-2)
Okenabirhie (5', 45+1')
Okenabirhie (33'), Simoes (52'), Butler (71'), James (85'), Greaves (90+5')
Coverage of the League One clash between Swindon Town and Doncaster Rovers.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Doncaster Rovers win with a probability of 45.01%. A win for Swindon Town had a probability of 28.96% and a draw had a probability of 26%.

The most likely scoreline for a Doncaster Rovers win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.05%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.06%) and 0-2 (8.09%). The likeliest Swindon Town win was 1-0 (8.46%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.37%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 9.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Doncaster Rovers would win this match.

Result
Swindon TownDrawDoncaster Rovers
28.96%26.03%45.01%
Both teams to score 51.77%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
47.73%52.27%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
26.03%73.97%
Swindon Town Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
67.37%32.63%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
30.82%69.18%
Doncaster Rovers Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
76.85%23.15%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
42.97%57.03%
Score Analysis
    Swindon Town 28.96%
    Doncaster Rovers 45%
    Draw 26.02%
Swindon TownDrawDoncaster Rovers
1-0 @ 8.46%
2-1 @ 6.93%
2-0 @ 4.74%
3-1 @ 2.59%
3-2 @ 1.89%
3-0 @ 1.77%
Other @ 2.58%
Total : 28.96%
1-1 @ 12.37%
0-0 @ 7.56%
2-2 @ 5.07%
3-3 @ 0.92%
Other @ 0.1%
Total : 26.02%
0-1 @ 11.05%
1-2 @ 9.06%
0-2 @ 8.09%
1-3 @ 4.42%
0-3 @ 3.94%
2-3 @ 2.47%
1-4 @ 1.62%
0-4 @ 1.44%
2-4 @ 0.9%
Other @ 2.02%
Total : 45%

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