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League Two | Gameweek 15
Oct 24, 2023 at 7.45pm UK
Kingsmeadow
AS

AFC Wimbledon
2 - 4
Accrington

Bugiel (51', 70')
Pell (24'), Al-Hamadi (68'), Biler (82')
FT(HT: 0-2)
Pritchard (4', 46'), Leigh (9'), Hills (83')
Bagueloc'rich (25'), Hills (54'), Mellor (63')

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Barrow 0-0 AFC Wimbledon
Saturday, October 21 at 3pm in League Two

We said: AFC Wimbledon 1-1 Accrington Stanley

The fact that Wimbledon's previous four league games have produced just two goals suggests another cagey encounter could be on the cards, but both teams have scored in eight of the last nine head-to-heads. There is not much to split the sides in the table and there may be little to separate on them the pitch too in what could well be a close encounter. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a AFC Wimbledon win with a probability of 49.39%. A win for Accrington Stanley had a probability of 25.55% and a draw had a probability of 25.1%.

The most likely scoreline for an AFC Wimbledon win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.15%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.46%) and 2-0 (8.85%). The likeliest Accrington Stanley win was 0-1 (7.51%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.91%). The actual scoreline of 2-4 was predicted with a 0.5% likelihood.

Result
AFC WimbledonDrawAccrington Stanley
49.39% (-0.405 -0.41) 25.05% (0.004999999999999 0) 25.55% (0.398 0.4)
Both teams to score 52.2% (0.356 0.36)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
49.53% (0.287 0.29)50.47% (-0.289 -0.29)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
27.6% (0.253 0.25)72.4% (-0.25500000000001 -0.26)
AFC Wimbledon Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
79.55% (-0.054000000000002 -0.05)20.45% (0.053000000000001 0.05)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
47.09% (-0.088000000000001 -0.09)52.91% (0.085999999999999 0.09)
Accrington Stanley Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
65.62% (0.491 0.49)34.37% (-0.492 -0.49)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
28.92% (0.521 0.52)71.08% (-0.52300000000001 -0.52)
Score Analysis
    AFC Wimbledon 49.38%
    Accrington Stanley 25.55%
    Draw 25.05%
AFC WimbledonDrawAccrington Stanley
1-0 @ 11.15% (-0.15 -0.15)
2-1 @ 9.46% (-0.013999999999999 -0.01)
2-0 @ 8.85% (-0.133 -0.13)
3-1 @ 5% (-0.016 -0.02)
3-0 @ 4.68% (-0.079 -0.08)
3-2 @ 2.67% (0.027 0.03)
4-1 @ 1.99% (-0.0089999999999999 -0.01)
4-0 @ 1.86% (-0.034 -0.03)
4-2 @ 1.06% (0.0090000000000001 0.01)
Other @ 2.66%
Total : 49.38%
1-1 @ 11.91%
0-0 @ 7.03% (-0.082 -0.08)
2-2 @ 5.05% (0.059 0.06)
3-3 @ 0.95% (0.023 0.02)
Other @ 0.11%
Total : 25.05%
0-1 @ 7.51% (0.013999999999999 0.01)
1-2 @ 6.36% (0.086 0.09)
0-2 @ 4.01% (0.06 0.06)
1-3 @ 2.26% (0.06 0.06)
2-3 @ 1.8% (0.045 0.04)
0-3 @ 1.43% (0.041 0.04)
Other @ 2.19%
Total : 25.55%

Read more!
Read more!
Form Guide
Last Game: Barrow 0-0 AFC Wimbledon
Saturday, October 21 at 3pm in League Two
Last Game: AFC Wimbledon 0-1 Bradford
Saturday, October 14 at 3pm in League Two
Last Game: Mansfield 0-0 AFC Wimbledon
Saturday, October 7 at 3pm in League Two
Last Game: Harrogate 0-1 AFC Wimbledon
Tuesday, October 3 at 7.45pm in League Two
Last Game: AFC Wimbledon 4-1 Tranmere
Saturday, September 30 at 3pm in League Two
Last Game: Walsall 1-3 AFC Wimbledon
Saturday, September 23 at 3pm in League Two
Last Game: Accrington 1-0 MK Dons
Saturday, October 21 at 3pm in League Two
Last Game: Grimsby Town 0-2 Accrington
Saturday, October 14 at 3pm in League Two
Last Game: Harrogate 3-5 Accrington
Tuesday, October 10 at 7.45pm in EFL Trophy
Last Game: Accrington 2-1 Forest Green
Saturday, October 7 at 3pm in League Two
Last Game: Morecambe 1-1 Accrington
Tuesday, October 3 at 7.45pm in League Two
Last Game: Accrington 1-3 Stockport
Saturday, September 30 at 3pm in League Two


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