Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a AFC Wimbledon win with a probability of 43.06%. A win for Barrow had a probability of 32.3% and a draw had a probability of 24.6%.
The most likely scoreline for an AFC Wimbledon win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.02%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.71%) and 2-0 (6.82%). The likeliest Barrow win was 1-2 (7.63%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.53%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 6.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that AFC Wimbledon would win this match.
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